Thursday, November 19, 2009

ex-date and arbitrage

today is hai-o ex-date for its 32cent dividend. as such it has dropped to RM7.22

prior to this i have being thinking whether i should sell out before the ex-date and after it drop down buy in again. I would be able to earn an arbitrage of the drop. Actually not sure if it is called arbitrage at all.

for this case, if i sell out at RM7.99, and buy in again now at RM7.22, and presuming my buy in price is RM7.5 previously, i would earn RM0.49 at least, which is higher than the RM0.32 dividend. the difference between is 2.26% earning over RM7.5 purchase price. However, after minus off the extra brokerage involved, it doesn't sounds that great. So, the conclusion since i had wanted to hold it long term anyway, it would be better not to target this arbitrage. After all, it won't 100% drop after ex-date.

the point that i should be considering is still the business earning of Haio. Look at the financial results below. EPS has been increasing 28% in the last quarter compare to previous quarter.
This has the effect to bring down PE over long term. So this is one reason i hold the stock.


Announcement
Date
Financial
Yr. End
QtrPeriod EndRevenue
RM '000
Profit/Lost
RM'000
EPSAmended
29-Sep-09
30-Apr-10
1 31-Jul-09
148,572
18,519
22.17
-
26-Jun-09
30-Apr-09
4 30-Apr-09
132,845
14,734
17.80
-
27-Mar-09
30-Apr-09
3 31-Jan-09
102,129
12,409
14.64
-
18-Dec-08
30-Apr-09
2 31-Oct-08
87,292
11,152
13.06
-

Secondly, even the dividend is improving over the years. holding this would be good enough
Company
Particulars
Date announced
Ex-Date
To those registered by
To be paid on
Total for
yr so far
Total for
prev yr

HAIO

Final 32¢

02-Oct-09 19-Nov-09 23-Nov-09 07-Dec-09

42¢

40¢


Interim 10¢

26-Feb-09 12-Mar-09 16-Mar-09 26-Mar-09

10¢

38.35¢


Final 32¢

03-Oct-08 27-Nov-08 01-Dec-08 10-Dec-08

40¢

13¢


Interim 8¢

19-Feb-08 12-Mar-08 14-Mar-08 28-Mar-08

18¢


First & Final 6¢

04-Oct-07 29-Nov-07 01-Dec-07 12-Dec-07


Interim 5¢ TE

15-Jan-07 23-Feb-07 27-Feb-07 13-Mar-07


Final 8¢

27-Sep-06 29-Nov-06 01-Dec-06 12-Dec-06


First & Final 6¢

04-Oct-05 29-Nov-05 01-Dec-05 12-Dec-05


First & Final 5¢

13-Aug-04 29-Nov-04 01-Dec-04 10-Dec-04

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